Comments on: Forecasting: Melvin Mora

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By: Diana

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By: Mike

Mike — Fri, 24 Mar 2006 20:30:03 +0000

The last thing we would want is to ruin the confidence that he has built and make him doubt the great work he has done thus far

This is a good point, but it is a distant second to the fact that allowing Markakis to make the OD lineup is just bad roster management. It’s allowing Jeff Fiorentino to be promoted from A-ball and be forced onto the 40-man roster a year early while you have AAA journeymen like Ramon Nivar in Ottawa bad. There is nothing more valuable than the first few seasons (pre-arbitration)of a good ballplayer’s career. There is no reason to burn one of those seasons prematurely when A) Markakis could still benefit from additional time in the minors and B) Markakis will have little impact on the direction of this season.

Stating that he is one of the three best OF options the O’s have is a dangerous oversimplification of the situation.

By: Nate

Nate — Fri, 24 Mar 2006 18:19:43 +0000

No doubt this is a tough decision, easily the toughest Perlozzo and company has to deal with. I agree with Sam that he is one of our top 3 outfielders at this point, based on spring training. I am probably one of his biggest fans and would love to watch him this year on the big club. However I think Mike’s points are overriding if you really think about it. The one thing I always come back to when trying to convince myself that he should be up here is that he only has played something like 33 games above A ball. In a year where everyone can agree we will not contend, there is indeed much more risk involved in letting come up north with us. The last thing we would want is to ruin the confidence that he has built and make him doubt the great work he has done thus far. And although it could go the other way too, even if it did, it wouldnt mean a whole lot for the O’s in the scheme of things. By the way, he went 4 for 4 yesterday against the Nationals.

By: Mike

Mike — Fri, 24 Mar 2006 18:06:34 +0000

I’d like to see Nick get more seasoning too, but right now he’s just better than our other options.

Without conceding that as true, I still don’t want Markakis to start the year in Baltimore. First off, the Orioles are not going to contend this year even if they thawed out Teddy Ballgame and stuck him in LF. So… why run any risk of playing a promising kid before he’s had the opportunity to succeed at lower levels. And, of course, the most important point…

If Markakis starts the year in Baltimore, he will be arbitration eligible after 2008 and eligible for free agency after 2011. If he is a June or July call-up this year, he will be arbitration eligible after 2009 and eligible for free agency after 2012.

Why expedite the process of making him more expensive and one foot closer to the door when it will have no impact on whether or not the Orioles contend?

I see a lot of risk and no reward to letting him make the OD roster.